Conspiracies or, Do These Nuts Grow on Trees or Just Congregate on Social Media?

First I want to say I am conservative, Republican and God-fearing, but I believe that conspiracy theorists do a disservice to the Conservative movement.

Conservatism should foremost be mostly non-reactionary.  In the last decade, though, I have watched it devolve into a knee-jerk reactionary movement more akin to children not getting their way.  That is not to say that quick reaction is unnecessary.  In some instances it is paramount, but even then should be well reasoned and pragmatic.

I see posts on Facebook, other social media and websites devoted to the belief that the United States is going to hell in a hand basket.  From Obama is a communist, Islamic, non-citizen (points 1 and 2 are mutually exclusive theoretically) to FEMA concentration camps and death lists.  A major proponent of these theories is Barbara Hartwell (disclaimer: from what I find on the Internet).  A perusal of her website seems to show a well spoken person with inside knowledge of some sinister things.  But posts and copied emails by her (less polished) show a rambling disorganized mind that bounces all over.  I will admit to not having read any books, papers etc. that she has written, but I have met several people like this in my 46 years and in almost every instance the person was a nutcase to the extreme.

Most of these theories are presented as secondhand information from a “source” that is nameless and unverifiable but nevertheless we all would know and admire if we only knew who they were, at least so we are told. Interviews on the subject tend to move from the original topic to more bizarre and unverifiable topics if allowed to proceed long enough. Other times there is verifiable information that has been so distorted from the original that it supports the crazy theory that someone is espousing.  Mainly though these theorists speak from their gut, going with what will sell regardless of outlandishness or verifiable evidence to contrary.

The internet provides a bully pulpit for those who crave attention.  Bizarre theories, distorted facts, and bombastic rhetoric are the bread and butter of these “purveyors of truth.”  But this does not negate the fact that as long as it tickles our ears or falls in line with our beliefs or paranoias (depending on the person), we will lap it up and ask for even more bizarre things. Ephesians 4:14 says it best:  “We must no longer be children, tossed to and fro and blown about by every wind of doctrine, by people’s trickery, by their craftiness in deceitful scheming.”

This concludes today’s rant

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The Agenda

“We cannot expect the Americans to jump from capitalism to communism, but we can assist their elected leaders in giving Americans small doses of socialism, until they suddenly awake to find they have communism.”

The above quote has never been confirmed to have been said by Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev, but it does sum up what appears to be happening within the United States. While not confirmed, it would be consistent with how, in an era of cold war, the Soviet Union would have attempted to indoctrinate society in America in the 50’s and 60’s.  Being Premier he might also have known of Soviet plans doing just that in the United States.

The socialist movement in the United States has always been centered in academia.  Due to this the most logical way in which to indoctrinate the society is through education.  I am not saying that all educators are socialists, but what is taught slowly indoctrinates the minds of the educated.

The following is an excerpt from the Congressional Record from Thursday, January 10, 1963:

Mr. HERLONG. Mr. Speaker, Mrs. Patricia Nordman of De Land, Fla., is an ardent and articulate opponent of communism, and until recently published the De Land Courier, which she dedicated to the purpose of alerting the public to the dangers of communism in America.

At Mrs. Nordman’s request, I include in the RECORD, under unanimous consent, the following “Current Communist Goals,” which she identifies as an excerpt from “The Naked Communist,” by Cleon Skousen:

[From “The Naked Communist,” by Cleon Skousen]

CURRENT COMMUNIST GOALS

1. U.S. acceptance of coexistence as the only alternative to atomic war.

Accepted after the Cuban Missile Crisis

2. U.S. willingness to capitulate in preference to engaging in atomic war.

See #1 and #3

3. Develop the illusion that total disarmament [by] the United States would be a demonstration of moral strength.

Never truly accepted and repudiated by the Reagan Administration resulting in
the fall of the Soviet Union and its satellite governments

4. Permit free trade between all nations regardless of Communist affiliation and regardless of whether or not items could be used for war.

Done with caveats

5. Extension of long-term loans to Russia and Soviet satellites.

Done

6. Provide American aid to all nations regardless of Communist domination.

Done with caveats

7. Grant recognition of Red China. Admission of Red China to the U.N.

Done October 25, 1971

8. Set up East and West Germany as separate states in spite of Khrushchev’s promise in 1955 to settle the German question by free elections under supervision of the U.N.

Done technically May 23, 1949 (West Germany) and October 7, 1949 (East Germany). Solidified with the building of the Berlin Wall in 1961

9. Prolong the conferences to ban atomic tests because the United States has agreed to suspend tests as long as negotiations are in progress.

Done

10. Allow all Soviet satellites individual representation in the U.N.

Done

11. Promote the U.N. as the only hope for mankind. If its charter is rewritten, demand that it be set up as a one-world government with its own independent armed forces. (Some Communist leaders believe the world can be taken over as easily by the U.N. as by Moscow. Sometimes these two centers compete with each other as they are now doing in the Congo.)

Continuing

12. Resist any attempt to outlaw the Communist Party.

Done

13. Do away with all loyalty oaths.

Partial

14. Continue giving Russia access to the U.S. Patent Office.

Done

15. Capture one or both of the political parties in the United States.

Technically, the Democratic Party supports a socialist agenda. Done.

16. Use technical decisions of the courts to weaken basic American institutions by claiming their activities violate civil rights.

Continuing

17. Get control of the schools. Use them as transmission belts for socialism and current Communist propaganda. Soften the curriculum. Get control of teachers’ associations. Put the party line in textbooks.

Partial. Partial. Done. Done. Partial.

18. Gain control of all student newspapers.

Unverifiable

19. Use student riots to foment public protests against programs or organizations which are under Communist attack.

Ongoing

20. Infiltrate the press. Get control of book-review assignments, editorial writing, policymaking positions.

Partial

21. Gain control of key positions in radio, TV, and motion pictures.

Partial

22. Continue discrediting American culture by degrading all forms of artistic expression. An American Communist cell was told to “eliminate all good sculpture from parks and buildings, substitute shapeless, awkward and meaningless forms.”

Never achieved

23. Control art critics and directors of art museums. “Our plan is to promote ugliness, repulsive, meaningless art.”

Never achieved

24. Eliminate all laws governing obscenity by calling them “censorship” and a violation of free speech and free press.

Easing through the late 50’s into the 70’s culminating in Miller v. California,
413 US 15

25. Break down cultural standards of morality by promoting pornography and obscenity in books, magazines, motion pictures, radio, and TV.

Ongoing

26. Present homosexuality, degeneracy and promiscuity as “normal, natural, healthy.”

Ongoing

27. Infiltrate the churches and replace revealed religion with “social” religion. Discredit the Bible and emphasize the need for intellectual maturity which does not need a “religious crutch.”

Ongoing

28. Eliminate prayer or any phase of religious expression in the schools on the ground that it violates the principle of “separation of  church and state.”

Engel v. Vitale, 370 US 421 (October 8 1962); School Dist. of Abington Tp. v
Schempp, 374 U.S. 203 (includes Murray v Cutlett) (June 17, 1963)

29. Discredit the American Constitution by calling it inadequate, old-fashioned, out of step with modern needs, a hindrance to cooperation between nations on a worldwide basis.

Ongoing

30. Discredit the American Founding Fathers. Present them as selfish aristocrats who had no concern for the “common man.”

Partial

31. Belittle all forms of American culture and discourage the teaching of American history on the ground that it was only a minor part of the “big picture.” Give more emphasis to Russian history since the Communists took over.

Has taken the form of apologizing for the United States

32. Support any socialist movement to give centralized control over any part of the culture–education, social agencies, welfare programs, mental health clinics, etc.

Ongoing

33. Eliminate all laws or procedures which interfere with the operation of the Communist apparatus.

Done

34. Eliminate the House Committee on Un-American Activities.

Done

35. Discredit and eventually dismantle the FBI.

Partial, never completed

36. Infiltrate and gain control of more unions.

Socialist leanings. Mainly support Democrats. See #15

37. Infiltrate and gain control of big business.

Never done

38. Transfer some of the powers of arrest from the police to social agencies. Treat all behavioral problems as psychiatric disorders which no one but psychiatrists can understand [or treat].

Partial

39. Dominate the psychiatric profession and use mental health laws as a means of gaining coercive control over those who oppose Communist goals.

Unverifiable

40. Discredit the family as an institution. Encourage promiscuity and easy divorce.

See it takes a village to raise a child

41. Emphasize the need to raise children away from the negative influence of parents. Attribute prejudices, mental blocks and retarding of children to suppressive influence of parents.

Separation of families under court order as unfit parents

42. Create the impression that violence and insurrection are legitimate aspects of the American tradition; that students and special-interest groups should rise up and use [“]united force[“] to solve economic, political or social problems.

The militia movement, secession petitions, etc. The latter 1960’s

43. Overthrow all colonial governments before native populations are ready for self-government.

Done

44. Internationalize the Panama Canal.

Control to Panama in 1999

45. Repeal the Connally reservation so the United States cannot prevent the World Court from seizing jurisdiction [over domestic problems. Give the World Court jurisdiction] over nations and individuals alike.

Can not determine if it is in force, but appears to be. Senator
Tom Connally (D-TX, 1929-1953) recognized the fact that at some
future time the UN General Assembly could amend the UN Charter to allow the International Court of Justice to override national court decisions. This amendment to the treaty safeguards out national sovereignty.

 

Out of the 45 provisions, 38 have been completed wholly or in part or are ongoing.  This is 84.4%.

These provisions have put the United States on a path toward an oppressive socialist state.  An additional set of actions would be to increasingly add industries and markets under some form of government control.  This can take the form of laws or regulations issued by various departments and agencies.

Recent actions by the Obama Administration and Congress can be seen as a power grab to enact these.  Many Democratic presidents have shown a penchant for increasingly ceding our sovereignty to the United Nations with the Senate more or less being complicit in the action.

It’s time that we, the American people, say to Washington, “ENOUGH IS ENOUGH!” and send people who will safeguard our interests instead of their own, who will enact our agenda and not a socialist power grab, and who will safeguard the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign or domestic as stated in their oath of office.

I do not advocate secession, outright civil war (although it might come to that), assassinations, riots or anything like that.  With over 200 years under our belt of actually electing a government to office peacefully, I believe that we can do what needs to be done without resorting to any of those.

Really???

I just read were LBGT’s were asked by their lobbying groups to stage a “Kiss-in” at Chick-Fil-A and then post a picture of it. 

Whose bright idea was this? Does the LBGT community want to be taken seriously???

Come on guys, this is typical, for lack of a better way of putting it, gay thinking.  You want to be taken seriously? Do what the Chick-Fil-A supporters did, but find yourself a company that supports your views and then have every LBGT person and your supporters go to that company and buy.  Show your economic muscle, not how good you are with your tongues.  Geez, at least use some common sense.  PDA’s are just that, a public display of affection.  If you want to fight a “war” at least try not to bring a knife to gunfight.

Revisiting my predictions for 2012

Everyone has their predictions, so I will give it a go, one for each month. Bet you I am closer to right.

1. The Super Bowl will once again not be played in January and the AFC team will win it.

Wrong, NFC won.  0-1

2. Punxsutawney Phil will see his shadow and amazingly we will have 6 weeks and 5 or 6 days more of winter just like every other year.

Right.  1-1

3. Saint Patrick’s Day will again fall on the 17th of March and totally miss the Ides…..what was the Catholic Church thinking?

Right. 2-1

75px-University_of_Kentucky_Logo.svg[1]4. The University of Kentucky will win it’s 8th NCAA championship in basketball. Well according to the pattern that will be next year, but I’m an alumnus so PFFFFBBBBT!!!!!

                      OMG I was right.  3-1

5. The Kentucky Derby will be run on the first Saturday in May and a horse will win it not a jockey since they are only along for the ride.

Right.  4-1

6. After the Belmont Stakes is run in June, we still will not have another Triple Crown winner.

Right.  5-1

7. My son will get his driver’s license. REMEMBER PEOPLE, I’M GIVING YOU 7 MONTHS WARNING!!!!!!!!!!!!

Am I wrong on this one if it is due to scheduling?  5-1-1

8. The Republicans will again nominate a lackluster candidate for President. We only get saved from complete boredom if Ron Paul is the nominee. If Paul does by some miracle win, will he have his son Rand as his running mate?

Right. 6-1-1

75px-Official_portrait_of_Barack_Obama[1]9. The Democrats select Barack Obama again. Don’t we get a do over? Isn’t it time for real change? If you as a Democrat believe that, dump BO.

Now before anyone thinks I am being biased with the way the picture looks, I tried to fix it for about 30 minutes and gave up.

 

Right. 7-1-1

10. The stock market takes a large slide setting up #11. Seems these always come in October.

I was wrong here.

7-2-1

11. Despite prediction number 8, the Republicans pull out a slight victory, proving just how much President Obama is not liked by the electorate. Heck I’ll go out on a limb here, 280-258 in the Electoral College.

Wrong again.  I hope people are “happy.”  7-3-1

12. I don’t know whether I can stress this enough. THE WORLD WILL NOT END. There is NO Planet X, Nibiru, Mongo, aliens from Zeta Reticuli, etc. The poles will not switch nor the Earth suddenly begin rotating in a different direction. Neither will cosmic alignments nor solar storms cause us many problems. Once again THE WORLD WILL NOT END!

Election 2012

And now for another of my infrequent posts, like anyone really reads them anyway.

With the election now down to Romney and Obama, the real contest begins.  As it stands today the election is Obama’s to lose. There are at most 5 battleground states: Colorado, Florida, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.  The election will turn on 2 things: Romney’s selection of a running mate and the economy with the pocketbook being more significant.

Electoral-vote.com currently has Obama carrying 26 states and the District of Columbia for 332 electoral votes to Romney’s 24 and 206.  All of the battleground states above but Florida are weak Democratic leads of 1 to 3%.  My belief at this point with no running mate picked for Romney is that Colorado and Ohio will move to the GOP column in November making the total 305 to 233 for Obama.  I would also add 1 vote to Romney for Maine, which splits it electoral votes, making it 304 to 234. Therefore for Romney to win the election, something has to happen to shift 37 votes to him.

Florida will again be critical in determining the outcome of the election.  Florida to Romney leaves only 9 votes between him and the Presidency, to Obama and it seals victory. So that leaves Romney looking for 9 votes. Michigan has 16 and Pennsylvania 20. So does this hinge on Romney’s VP choice or the economy?

A VP choice of Rick Santorum might push Pennsylvania into his column and it might not. Santorum has squeaked through on his Senate bids and did not survive the spring primaries. I’d call this a crap shoot.

Bob Portman of Ohio might help the ticket there but if he is going to win there anyway does it help anywhere else? Possibly Michigan, but this normally solid win for the Democrats will put up roadblocks to that.

Paul Ryan might bring Wisconsin, but hails from a heavily Republican district in a very Democratic state.  This choice I’d give a 50/50 of pulling Wisconsin or Michigan into the Romney column.

As for other potential candidates, neither Tim Pawlenty nor Bobby Jindal bring anything new to the table. Pawlenty will likely not bring Minnesota into the Romney camp and Jindal is from the safely Republican Louisiana.

That said, as usual, the American electorate will once again vote with their pocketbooks as opposed to their brains.  From my research all the stock market predictions that I can find predict a steep decline in the stock market starting in August and extending into late October, the Dow on the order of 1500 points or around –12.5%.  But will this be enough to hand the election to Romney?

Let’s look at the battleground states that I mentioned

 

Pennsylvania

Obama’s current lead is 48% to 44%.  This is a not too likely to move to Romney given the gap to bridge for the win. Win Obama but barely.

Florida

Floridians seem to vote with their pocketbooks.  If all the retired Independents here see their investments shrink by over 10%, that should push this state solidly into the GOP column. Win Romney.

Michigan

This state has been hurt by the economy and helped by the Obama administration, vis-à-vis the bailout of GM and Chrysler. If the economy tanks and Obama seems preoccupied there should be about a 50% chance of this state moving in the Romney column. My best guess would be a slight Romney edge but I’ll give Obama the votes.

Ohio

I get the feeling that Ohioans are fed up with the antics of this Administration and will move the state to the GOP.  Win Romney.

Colorado

The trend in the polls is a narrowing gap between the candidates.  This should play into Romney’s hands and coupled with the economy should easily turn Colorado to the GOP.  Win Romney.

 

Vote totals (based on my assumptions):

Economy plays no factor, VP plays no factor.

Obama 304
Romney 234

VP plays a factor Pennsylvania only

Obama 284
Romney 254

VP plays a factor Wisconsin only

Obama 294
Romney 244

Economy plays a factor, VP plays no factor

Obama 275
Romney 263

Economy plays a factor, VP plays a factor Wisconsin

Obama 265
Romney 273

Economy plays a factor, VP plays a factor Pennsylvania

Obama 255
Romney 283

In all likelihood Obama will win this election barely, but only if other weak or moderately weak states do not switch due to the economy or some other factor does not come into play.  The most likely states to do this would be Virginia(13), Michigan(16), New Hampshire(4), Iowa(6) or New Mexico(5). The following combinations could turn the election: New Hampshire and any of the other four states probably Iowa, Michigan or Virginia by itself, in order of likelihood.

So what we come to is that Romney must win Florida, Ohio, Colorado and either; New Hampshire and Iowa or New Hampshire and New Mexico or New Mexico and Iowa; or take Virginia or Michigan. 

So now I will give my gut feeling that Romney will just barely win the Electoral Vote and be the next President of the United States all of this dependent on the economy tanking.